The first snowfall forecast for 2025–2026 is here, signaling both excitement and preparation. Across the U.S., millions are ready to welcome the season’s first flakes—symbolizing cozy holidays and crisp winter mornings—but also bracing for slippery roads, travel delays, and school closures.

The upcoming winter, according to AccuWeather’s Long-Range Forecast, will bring strong early storms and above-average snowfall in several northern regions. The Midwest, Great Lakes, and Northeast are expected to see the most frequent and heaviest snowfalls.
“We’re forecasting an intense, stormy winter with significant snowfall events at both the beginning and the end of the season,” said Paul Pastelok, AccuWeather’s Lead Long-Range Meteorologist. “The middle of winter could bring a brief lull, but early and late storms will define this season.”
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Contents
- 1 2025–2026 Winter Forecast Overview
- 2 Early Winter Storms: A Bookend Season
- 3 Top 12 Snowiest U.S. Locations (2025–2026 Forecast)
- 4 What’s Driving the 2025–2026 Winter Pattern?
- 5 Travel Advisory: Prepare for Disruptions
- 6 Regional Highlights: When Will the First Snow Arrive?
- 7 Balancing Winter Joy with Safety
- 8 FAQs
2025–2026 Winter Forecast Overview
| Region | Timing of First Snow | Highlights |
|---|---|---|
| Northern Rockies | September–Early October | Early snow dustings on high peaks; spreads to Utah and Colorado. |
| Pacific Northwest | Late October | Snowfall in Washington Cascades and Oregon mountains. |
| Upper Midwest | Late October–November | Early snow and heavy lake-effect bands near Great Lakes. |
| Northeast & New England | Late October–December | First measurable snow by early December; strong nor’easters possible. |
| Central Plains & Mid-Atlantic | November–December | Snow expands to Kansas, Pittsburgh, and Boston. |
| Southern States | Late December–January | Light snow possible in northern Arkansas, Tennessee, and Kentucky. |
| Deep South & Florida | Rare | Mostly warm conditions with minimal snow. |
| Western Mountains | Variable | Mostly dry early, with December snowstorms possible. |
Early Winter Storms: A Bookend Season
Meteorologists predict a “bookend” winter, with strong storms bracketing the start and end of the season.
- December 2025: Early storms from Canada could sweep into the Midwest and move eastward toward the Atlantic.
- Mid-Atlantic and Northeast: Some of these systems could evolve into powerful nor’easters, bringing heavy snow, gusty winds, and travel disruptions just before the holidays.
- Late Winter 2026: Another surge of storms is likely, particularly across the Great Lakes and New England, as cold air returns and atmospheric patterns shift.
“Early December could bring our first significant winter storm of the season,” noted Dr. Jennifer McCall, a climate researcher at the National Center for Atmospheric Analysis. “These early systems often catch travelers off-guard, especially heading into the holiday rush.”
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Top 12 Snowiest U.S. Locations (2025–2026 Forecast)
| Rank | Location | Snowfall Outlook | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Buffalo, NY | 90–100 inches | Lake-effect snow; multiple blizzards possible. |
| 2 | Minneapolis, MN | 80–90 inches | Early and persistent snow season. |
| 3 | Bismarck, ND | 75+ inches | Arctic fronts fueling frequent snow. |
| 4 | Salt Lake City, UT | 70 inches | Early mountain snow boosts ski season. |
| 5 | Fargo, ND | 70 inches | Heavy Plains snowfall predicted. |
| 6 | Duluth, MN | 65–75 inches | Strong lake-effect snow bands. |
| 7 | Rochester, NY | 90 inches | High snowfall near Lake Ontario. |
| 8 | Erie, PA | 80–90 inches | Consistent lake-effect events. |
| 9 | Anchorage, AK | 110+ inches | Early season heavy snow returns. |
| 10 | Marquette, MI | 100 inches | Upper Peninsula snow belt peaks. |
| 11 | Flagstaff, AZ | 65 inches | Mountain snow enhances tourism. |
| 12 | Mount Washington, NH | 150+ inches | Strong nor’easters and elevation effects. |
“The Great Lakes region is once again shaping up to be a snow magnet,” said Dr. Alex Rodriguez, meteorologist at the University of Wisconsin. “Cold air over warm lake waters will intensify lake-effect snowfalls.”
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What’s Driving the 2025–2026 Winter Pattern?
Meteorologists point to several atmospheric factors influencing this year’s forecast:
- Weak La Niña Conditions: Cooler Pacific Ocean waters typically bring colder, snowier winters across northern U.S. states.
- Polar Jet Stream Shifts: Expect the jet stream to dip more frequently, allowing Arctic air to spill southward.
- Warm Great Lakes: Unusually warm lake surfaces could fuel heavier lake-effect snow, especially early in the season.
- High-Pressure Blocking: Patterns over Greenland and the North Atlantic could trap cold air in the U.S. longer.
| Factor | Effect on Weather |
|---|---|
| Weak La Niña | Brings colder, stormier winter in northern U.S. |
| Jet Stream Dips | Increases storm frequency in Midwest and Northeast |
| Warm Great Lakes | Amplifies lake-effect snow |
| Atlantic Blocking Patterns | Prolongs cold air intrusions |
Travel Advisory: Prepare for Disruptions
The first snow is beautiful—but also disruptive. The forecast calls for more frequent storms and longer cold spells across much of the northern U.S.
Key Travel Insights
- Early Season (October–December): Expect flight delays and icy roads, especially in the Midwest, Northeast, and Rockies.
- Holiday Season: December storms may disrupt Thanksgiving and Christmas travel, especially along the I-95 corridor.
- Mid-Season (January): Possible lull with milder conditions in parts of the central U.S.
- Late Season (February–March): Another surge of strong storms likely as cold air returns.
Safety Tips
- Keep an emergency winter kit (blankets, flashlight, snacks, and water) in your car.
- Check state DOT advisories before long drives.
- Download airline apps for real-time flight updates.
- Monitor local forecasts closely, especially during December and late February peaks.
“Drivers often underestimate how quickly roads can turn treacherous with the season’s first snow,” warns Lt. Brandon Reeves, a public safety officer with the Illinois State Police. “Preparation is key to avoiding accidents and delays.”
Regional Highlights: When Will the First Snow Arrive?
| Region | Expected Start | Winter Character |
|---|---|---|
| Rocky Mountains | Late September–Early October | Cold and early snow accumulation in high elevations. |
| Pacific Northwest | Late October | Frequent rain-snow mix; heavier snow above 4,000 feet. |
| Great Lakes & Midwest | Late October–Mid-November | Strong lake-effect events; colder-than-average temps. |
| Northeast & Mid-Atlantic | November–December | First snow by early December; stormy late winter. |
| Southern States | December–January | Rare snow in northern Tennessee, Arkansas, and Kentucky. |
Balancing Winter Joy with Safety
The first snow of the 2025–2026 season will be a nostalgic and magical sight—but preparation is vital. Whether it’s stocking up on winter supplies, scheduling vehicle maintenance, or adjusting travel plans, readiness ensures you can enjoy the season safely.
Winter will bring plenty of snow for skiers and snow lovers, but also hazards for travelers and commuters. The forecast suggests a season of contrasts—stormy bookends, calmer midseason, and bursts of beauty amid cold challenges.
“Winter’s charm lies in its unpredictability,” said meteorologist Paul Pastelok. “Be ready for early surprises and strong finishes.”
FAQs
When will the first snow fall in the U.S.?
Early snow may start in September across the Rockies, spreading to the Great Lakes and Northeast by October and November.
Which regions will get the most snow?
The Great Lakes, Upper Midwest, and Northeast are expected to see the highest totals, especially Buffalo, Rochester, Duluth, and Marquette.
Will southern states experience snow?
Rarely. However, light snow is possible in northern Arkansas, Tennessee, and Kentucky by late December or early January.
What weather pattern is influencing this winter?
A weak La Niña and persistent Arctic air patterns are likely to create colder, stormier conditions in northern regions.
How will travel be affected?
Expect flight delays, icy highways, and school closures during major December and February storms. Travelers should plan accordingly.
Is this winter expected to be colder than usual?
Yes, especially for the Midwest, Northeast, and Rockies, which will experience below-average temperatures and above-average snowfall.